Sunday, August 10, 2025

Market Forecast for August 11–15, 2025 – Analytics & Forecasts – 9 August 2025


The previous week confirmed a blended efficiency throughout key markets. Because of a weaker greenback, the euro recovered a part of its earlier losses, whereas bitcoin bounced from its August 3 lows. Oil costs, following “Trump’s command,” continued to fall, and gold strengthened amid robust safe-haven demand.

💶 EUR/USD

The pair ended final week close to 1.1642, holding above key assist regardless of a weakening bullish momentum. Shifting averages stay in favour of the euro, however resistance round 1.1700 is capping good points. A take a look at of this space is anticipated within the coming days, and a breakout increased would open the way in which towards 1.1760. Failure to carry above 1.1700 might set off a pullback to 1.1550-1.1600, whereas a break under 1.1550 would reinforce downward stress, focusing on assist within the 1.1390-1.1400 zone.

💹 BTC/USD

Bitcoin closed the week simply above 116,900 after sellers capped the rally. Quick-term stress may result in a transfer down towards 114,200-115,000, from the place consumers might try to resume the uptrend. A profitable rebound would goal the 119,500120,300 space. Alternatively, a break under 114,200 would pave the way in which for a deeper correction towards 111,000 and presumably decrease.

🛢 Brent

Brent completed buying and selling in a robust assist/resistance zone at $65.78 per barrel, persevering with its downward development. Early within the week, a corrective transfer towards 68.00-69.00 is feasible, however sellers might re-enter at these ranges. A continuation of the bearish development would open the way in which to 64.00-65.00, after which to 62.65–63.10. A break above 69.00 would shift the main target to additional progress towards 70.00-70.75.

🥇 XAU/USD

Gold ended final week round 3,399, supported by robust safe-haven flows. Nonetheless, the pair stays inside a sideways vary of three,255-3,440 and inside a medium-term triangle narrowing towards the three,350 apex. Within the coming days, the metallic might take a look at the higher boundary of this vary. A assured shut above 3,440 would sign a transfer towards new highs, whereas failure to interrupt resistance may see a retreat towards 3,350 and, if the greenback strengthens, 3,255-3,290.

📈 Conclusion

This week, merchants’ consideration will concentrate on whether or not EUR/USD can keep above 1.1600, bitcoin can prolong its bullish development, Brent can defend the mid-$66 space, and gold can safe an in depth above 3,440. Strikes past these ranges may set the tone for the remainder of August.

Amongst key macroeconomic releases, Tuesday, August 12 will deliver US Shopper Worth Index (CPI) and Core CPI information – essential for assessing interest-rate prospects. On Wednesday, Germany’s CPI figures are due, adopted on Thursday, August 14 by US Producer Worth Index (PPI) information. Friday will characteristic US retail gross sales studies and the preliminary College of Michigan shopper sentiment index. Additionally in focus is the potential extension of the US-China commerce truce, which is ready to run out on August 12.

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