Thursday, June 19, 2025

US-China Commerce Talks Proceed into Second Day

US markets had been comparatively subdued on Monday as traders awaited the end result of contemporary commerce talks between the world’s two largest economies.  

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged up 0.09% and 0.31% respectively, while the Dow Jones closed flat. The US greenback index, which measures the dollar towards a basket of foreign currency echange, inched up 0.19% and continued to rise on Tuesday morning.

US-China Commerce Talks

On Monday, the US and China started a brand new spherical of commerce talks in London, because the world’s two largest economies try to ease ongoing commerce tensions.

After ending for the day on Monday night, commerce talks are anticipated to proceed on Tuesday, with President Trump stating he was “solely getting good reviews” from his representatives in London.

Following a tit-for-tat escalation of tariffs between the 2 nations, Washington and Beijing agreed a truce final month in Geneva, agreeing to roll again nearly all of their tariffs for 90 days.

Nonetheless, since then, either side have accused the opposite of not holding up their finish of the deal.

The US mentioned that China had not eased restrictions on exports of uncommon earth metals and magnets, as had been agreed. Quickly after, China acknowledged that for the reason that Geneva talks, the US had launched a variety of measures towards China, together with issuing export management tips on AI chips.

Chinese language Financial Information

The most recent US-China commerce talks began following the discharge of assorted financial information from China on Monday morning. 

China’s export progress slowed to 4.8% in Might, lacking analyst expectations. The information confirmed that Chinese language exports to the US plummeted 34.5% yr on yr, highlighting the affect of commerce tensions between the 2 nations. 

Exports have been an necessary driver of China’s financial progress in latest occasions, amidst an ongoing downturn within the property market and sluggish home demand. 

Proof of this weak home demand was on present in China’s newest inflation information, additionally launched on Monday.  

The Client Worth Index (CPI) was reported in detrimental territory for the fourth consecutive month, as China continues to battle deflationary strain. CPI fell by 0.1% yr on yr in Might, though this was lower than had been anticipated by analysts.  

In the meantime, the Producer Worth Index (PPI) slumped by greater than anticipated, falling 3.3% yr on yr, its sharpest drop in virtually two years. 

ECB Cuts Charges, Once more

Final week, on Thursday, the European Central Financial institution (ECB) lower its key rate of interest for the eighth time since final June.

As had been extensively anticipated, the ECB lower its deposit charge by 25 foundation factors to 2% and signalled that its rate-cutting cycle could also be coming to an finish.

On the identical time, the central financial institution lowered its headline inflation outlook for the yr to its medium-term goal of two%, down from its projection of two.3% in March. Its expectations for GDP progress remained unchanged at 0.9% in 2025.

What to Look Out for This Week

The rest of this week will see a variety of different necessary financial occasions, together with the next:

  • US inflation information on Wednesday
  • UK month-to-month GDP figures on Thursday
  • US 30-Yr Treasury public sale on Thursday

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